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2020

Geopolitics and the Oil Price Cycle – An Introduction

Posted on February 4, 2026 by

Oil prices experienced record volatility in the spring of 2020 amid two separate, but simultaneous shocks—the largest singular, sudden drop in oil demand in history amid lockdowns across the world to slow the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic and a brief oil price war among the world’s largest oil producers. The gyration was the latest…

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The Ephemeral Brent Geopolitical Risk Premium

Posted on February 4, 2026 by

We study the changing relationship between Brent oil prices and geopolitical risk, conditional on physical oil market conditions. We conduct the analysis at three frequencies, medium (1-3 years), high (2-3 months), and very high (daily), using three complementary techniques at the different levels (respectively, continuous wavelet partial coherence, VAR and GARCH-MIDAS) over the period April…

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On the Techno-economic Benefits of a Global Energy Interconnection

Posted on February 4, 2026 by

The discussion about the benefits of a global energy interconnection is gaining momentum in recent years. The techno-economic benefits of this integration are broadly discussed for the major regions around the world. While there has not been substantial research on the techno-economic benefits, however, some initial results of the global energy interconnection are presented in…

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Projecting Energy and Climate for the 21st Century

Posted on February 4, 2026 by

The growing evidence of severe climate change impacts on human life and the global economy has created the increasing need for an assessment of low-carbon pathways. While the ultimate goal of zero- or near-zero global emissions is clear, the timing and trajectory to achieve low-carbon economic system is not. Projecting energy and climate is getting…

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The Synergies Between EU Climate and Renewable Energy Policies-Evidence from Portugal Using Integrated Modelling

Posted on February 4, 2026 by

In the current debate about the cost-effectiveness of the EU climate and energy policy, the coexistence of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduction and renewable energy targets, as well as the EU Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS), have been subject to some criticism. In this paper we explore the interactions between EU climate and renewable energy targets…

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Measuring Energy Efficiency: Accounting for the Hidden Costs of Product Failure

Posted on February 4, 2026 by

Several recent studies suggest that minimum energy efficiency standards for appliances have resulted in higher-quality products with little or no increase in price. We have conducted case studies for the two major household appliances—clothes washers and refrigerators—subject to Department of Energy (DOE) energy efficiency standards implemented over the 2001 to 2011 period. We identify three…

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