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2024

Are energy performance certificates a strong predictor of actual energy use? Evidence from high-frequency thermostat panel data

Posted on February 4, 2026February 9, 2026 by

This paper examines the extent with which Energy Performance Certificates (EPCs) reflect observed energy used for heating. We use high-frequency smart thermostat panel data in combination with building characteristics and hourly weather information. We exploit variations in boiler operation in the neighborhood of a steady state indoor temperature to elicit the predictive power of an…

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Evaluation of the Winter Pollution Mitigation Policy in China

Posted on February 4, 2026February 9, 2026 by

Rapid industrialization in China has come with substantial increases in local air pollution. This paper quantifies the health benefits of the Winter Pollution Mitigation Policy of 2017. We estimate that this policy caused an 18% reduction in fine particulate concentration levels, resulting in 19,400 deaths avoided in 2017 due to pollution exposure in Beijing, Tianjin,…

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Does adaptive capacity reduce funding costs of municipalities that are exposed to climate change risk?

Posted on February 4, 2026 by

Research shows that municipalities that face more risk from climate change have higher financing costs than municipalities that face less risk. However, to our best knowledge, it is unknown whether the adaptive capacity of a municaplity is rewarded in terms of lower financing costs.  We study municipal bonds issued by U.S. municipalities that are known…

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Electricity Markets in Transition and Crisis: Balancing Efficiency, Equity, and Security

Posted on February 4, 2026 by

Two electricity market crises following the lifting of post-Covid restrictions in 2021 and the natural gas supply interruptions in 2022, challenged the functioning of the EU electricity market and its design. This paper argues that the market design was already ripe for an overhaul as the efficient market paradigm has gradually become an instrument of…

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Policy Reversals in Transitional Markets: The Effect of Changing Marginal Cost to Physical Order Dispatch in the Mexican Power Sector

Posted on February 4, 2026 by

This study explores the 2021 Mexican electric reform that proposes changing the power dispatch from a marginal-cost-based to a command-and-control physical system. The new law forces the state power company to dispatch before private generators. We use the GENeSYS-MOD techno-economic energy model to determine the reform’s effect on the power sector’s generation mix, energy emissions,…

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Regulatory impact on Quality of Electricity Distribution Services: The case of Latin America and the Caribbean

Posted on February 4, 2026 by

In this study, we empirically estimate the impact of quality regulation based on economic incentives on the frequency and duration of power outages. First, based on a sample of 143 electricity distributors across Latin America and the Caribbean, we show that between 2003 and 2019, the System Average Interruption Duration Index (SAIDI) and the System…

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Quality Matters: Power Reliability and Grid Connection in Rural Guatemala

Posted on February 4, 2026 by

Electrification rates have been increasing within low and middle income countries. However, the prevalence of outages is still a relevant issue for rural households when considering whether to connect to the grid. We test this by exploiting a shock in quality that unequally affected different municipalities in Guatemala during 2012–2014. Our main estimates, which are…

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Determinants of energy poverty: Trends in Spain in times of economic change (2006–2021)

Posted on February 4, 2026 by

The debate concerning energy affordability in Europe is more pressing than ever, not solely as an energy issue but also as a broader social concern related to climate change, poverty, and health deprivation. This paper empirically investigates the factors leading to household energy vulnerability and identifies new dimensions and profiles affected by this structural problem….

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Key Fuel Poverty Indicators and Variables: A Systematic Literature Review

Posted on February 4, 2026 by

Fuel poverty is a condition associated with the inability to afford sufficient energy services in a home, especially heating. There is no single standardised process for defining or measuring fuel poverty. Each different method used in research or policy presents biases, resulting in different numbers of affected households with implications for interventions. This systematic literature…

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Energy Markets Under Stress: Some Reflections on Lessons From the 2021–2023 Energy Price Crisis in Europe

Posted on February 4, 2026 by

This paper examines the 2021–2023 energy crisis in Europe exacerbated by the energy consequences of the full-scale Russia—Ukraine war which began in February 2022. We show that this was an historically unprecedented price shock to both gas and electricity prices. We then draw on lessons from UK energy policy in World War Two to inform…

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