This study examines the impact of key climate change indicators, including maximum temperature, minimum temperature, and precipitation, on inflation uncertainty across tropical and temperate regions. Using data from 53 countries between 1990 and 2020, the analysis applies Panel Structural Vector Autoregression to uncover regional differences. The findings reveal that maximum temperature significantly contributes to inflation uncertainty in tropical regions, while precipitation plays a major role in temperate regions. The study highlights the critical role of renewable energy in reducing climate-induced inflation volatility, particularly
in tropical areas. The results emphasize the need for region-specific monetary policies that focus on stabilizing food prices, promoting renewable energy in tropical regions, and strengthening infrastructure resilience and water management in temperate regions. Integrating renewable energy into economic strategies is essential for lowering inflation uncertainty and fostering sustainable growth in the face of climate challenges.
Tag: Climate change
Are energy performance certificates a strong predictor of actual energy use? Evidence from high-frequency thermostat panel data
This paper examines the extent with which Energy Performance Certificates (EPCs) reflect observed energy used for heating. We use high-frequency smart thermostat panel data in combination with building characteristics and hourly weather information. We exploit variations in boiler operation in the neighborhood of a steady state indoor temperature to elicit the predictive power of an…
Methane Abatement Costs in the Oil and Gas Industry: Survey and Synthesis
There is growing recognition of the relative importance of anthropogenic emissions of methane as a contributor to global climate change. An important source of such emissions in some countries, including the United States, is the oil and gas (O&G) sector. This points to the importance of developing understanding of the marginal abatement cost functions for…
Marginal Emissions Pathways: Drivers and Implications
Governments frequently use policies that target the expansion of a clean technology to achieve greenhouse gas emissions mitigation goals, such as those submitted by countries under the Paris Agreement. As a result of direct and indirect market adjustments induced by a particular policy, marginal emissions from expanding a clean technology may vary in the amount…
Lessons learned from China’s regional carbon market pilots
This paper gives an overview of the performance of China’s seven regional carbon market pilots and the range of approaches they have used. We assessed the outcomes of these pilots using publicly available secondary market trading data. The differences in market performance are explained by the design of key market elements such as emission allowances,…
Incentivizing firm compliance with China’s national emissions trading system
When it launches in 2017, China’s CO2 emissions trading system (ETS) will cover the largest CO2 emissions volume of any system to date and be among the very first to launch in a developing country. We evaluate the potential of an ETS to alter the emitting behavior of covered firms and to support the achievement…
Towards a Green Monetary Policy for Developing Countries: A Climate Rating Mechanism for Funding Sustainable Projects
Even though the monetary policy first mission, has never been oriented to fight against global warming, central banks are starting to mobilize more efforts, in the financial sector, to tackle the negative impact posed by the uncontrolled climate change on the economy. In this paper, we propose a new mechanism contributing to the greening of…
Interactions between Market Reform and a Carbon Price in China’s Power Sector
The electricity sector accounts for a large share of China’s carbon dioxide emissions and of the economy-wide abatement potential. China’s planned national emissions trading scheme would include electricity generation, as nearly all emissions trading schemes do. The critical difference is that in most existing carbon pricing systems the power sector operates with competitive markets and…
Internalizing the Climate Externality: Can a Uniform Price Commitment Help?
It is difficult to resolve the global warming free-rider externality problem by negotiating many different quantity targets. By contrast, negotiating a single internationally-binding minimum carbon price (the proceeds from which are domestically retained) counters self-interest by incentivizing agents to internalize the externality. In this contribution I attempt to sketch out, mostly with verbal arguments, the…
Who’s Responsible for Climate Change? New Evidence Based on Country-level Estimates of Climate Debt
In this paper we discuss the concept of climate debt, which measures the cumulative economic damages due to CO2 emissions. We find that the climate debt (estimated for 131 countries) is extremely large, equaling some $59 trillion over the 1959–2018 period. Climate debt is also substantial relative to other government liabilities; in the G-20, it…